Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 117.979013 135.364996 155.380191 180.346291 210.964158 247.699737 2.957437e+02
2025-05-04 92.487386 113.786649 140.796940 178.357084 230.568170 302.731659 4.141536e+02
2025-05-11 79.625884 102.544776 133.553764 180.086514 251.027131 360.544019 5.549869e+02
2025-05-18 69.456021 92.433814 125.027623 176.828628 261.721569 405.221217 6.930176e+02
2025-05-25 62.873263 86.055045 120.311941 177.604825 277.933478 462.869330 8.824124e+02
2025-06-01 57.598282 80.726643 116.120619 178.013092 293.054105 522.980333 1.112192e+03
2025-06-08 52.727713 75.343298 110.963309 175.625787 302.145094 573.920853 1.355041e+03
2025-06-15 50.629020 73.973988 111.994294 184.144223 334.406387 687.930498 1.873146e+03
2025-06-22 46.168993 68.321878 105.103337 176.739802 331.618707 717.131704 2.147153e+03
2025-06-29 43.289845 64.982360 101.791813 175.644189 342.420111 786.517445 2.657973e+03
2025-07-06 40.878499 62.193129 99.115095 175.337807 354.967817 867.016424 3.341225e+03
2025-07-13 39.988386 61.903842 100.898624 184.492805 393.179852 1047.643750 4.938415e+03
2025-07-20 39.449404 62.337193 104.388630 198.772573 452.060041 1352.914075 8.631659e+03
2025-07-27 37.029884 59.204350 100.703770 196.387046 464.559155 1496.915653 1.186151e+04
2025-08-03 35.320509 57.205788 99.010129 198.351621 490.996758 1729.054197 1.833609e+04
2025-08-10 33.247461 54.350416 95.260306 194.647071 498.504810 1881.418451 2.576545e+04
2025-08-17 31.789191 52.535003 93.458637 195.529407 521.981365 2150.857556 4.261287e+04
2025-08-24 30.426774 50.791274 91.617283 195.993570 544.557409 2451.058537 7.520953e+04
2025-08-31 28.930347 48.674154 88.761519 193.280080 554.711310 2689.848283 1.280174e+05
2025-09-07 28.482277 48.581695 90.310543 202.969650 618.043323 3458.465519 5.106116e+05
2025-09-14 26.782399 45.866419 85.748387 194.546108 603.181167 3532.963761 8.519902e+05
2025-09-21 25.701323 44.335554 83.743198 193.300990 619.650698 3959.425321 3.421187e+06
2025-09-28 24.758001 43.023623 82.121915 192.952861 640.525124 4500.804769 5.966577e+07